Moving over to ustornadoes.com

I was planning on letting the free blog play out a bit, but I'm not that happy with its options. At the same time I'm really enjoying this "startup" and it's probably easier to recreate the posts on a new site now compared to later, so let's move on over to ustornadoes.com.

Note: If reading within 24-48 hours of 6 p.m. February 21, you may have to wait for your internet provider to propagate the DNS (aka, see the site). 

The Mississippi Valley Outbreak of 1971 and February's only F5 tornado

Nineteen tornadoes struck from Texas to Ohio and North Carolina on February 21-22, 1971. The greatest concentration of them was in Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, and especially Mississippi. The outbreak was responsible for 123 deaths and nearly 1,600 injuries. This event (with 121 of the deaths on the 21st) accounts for over 1/4 of all February tornado deaths since 1950.  It is regarded as the second deadliest February outbreak, behind the Enigma Outbreak in 1884.

The outbreak came together when a rapidly deepening surface low pressure system passed through parts of east Texas and toward central Missouri from the 21st through the 22nd. Concurrently, an upper-level low moved out of the Rockies on its way  toward the the central Plains. To the southeast of the main surface low, a triple point developed in the vicinity of the Louisiana, Arkansas and Missippi borders. Through the 22nd, this triple point headed toward Tennessee with a warm front draped eventually across the Carolinas. 

The main show occurred on February 21, in the heart of the outbreak area -- La., Ar., Ms., and Tn. -- as temperatures rose into the 60s and 70s replete with high dew points. The devloping triple point helped spawn the eventual boundary where strong southeast and east winds could clash with the incoming airmass. Strong wind shear and abnormal instability for February combined to create a dangerous mix, all while a heavy snowstorm impacted the upper mid-west and the Plains.

The first storms of the evening began to spawn tornadoes between 3 and 5 p.m. in southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and western Mississippi. Storms continued to drop tornadoes across the area and to the northeast into Tennessee until late evening. The storms and tornadoes associated with them raced northeast at speeds up to and past 50 mph.Three of these tornadoes would become quite prolific and march northeast for hours, two are still ranked as the top two deadliest February tornadoes since 1950.

Average daily pressure maps for both the surface and 500 mb on February 21 and February 22, 1971. In both cases cool colors represent lower pressure. The surface low passed from Texas to Missouri while the upper level low passed from east of the 4-corners and into the central Plains. The orientation of the trough went negative tilt for a time as can be seen with the upper low to the southwest of the surface low on the 22nd.

This outbreak was unusual, particularly for February, in its percentage (nearly 70%) of significant (F2+) tornadoes, with 13 of the group reaching such a strength. Over the two days, there were three F3s, two F4s and February's only F5 tornado on record. As comparison, the Super Tuesday outbreak of February 5-6, 2008 had 10 EF-3/EF-4 and no EF-5s out of 86 total tornadoes. Keep in mind, it is possible that some tornadoes were not reported in 1971 or that one or more were classified as one tornado and was actually several.

The F5 tornado in the Mississippi Valley Outbreak killed 47 people and injured over 500. It had a track length of an incredible 109 miles, and was 500 feet wide at its greatest. It's also the only F5 on record (since 1950) to strike Louisiana. Perhaps the hardest hit place from this tornado was Inverness in Mississippi. The town was basically completely destroyed and 21 people died there. At any time of year, this was a respectable tornado on every metric, and for February it was rather astounding.

Sadly, the F5 tornado was not the deadliest of this outbreak. That status is held by an F4 which traveled from just east of the Louisiana/Mississippi border all the way to Tennessee and had an amazing track length of 202 miles (there is some question to the Tennessee portion, and this may have been a family of tornadoes rather than just one). This tornado completely leveled several small towns, and killed entire families in its path. It is ranked as the deadliest tornado in February during modern records.

Though the majority of tornadoes happened in fairly close proximity to each other, F2+ tornadoes occurred in Texas, Ohio and North Carolina as well. Both Ohio and North Carolina were hit by F3s on the 22nd. The North Carolina tornado was particularly prolific, starting in Fayetteville and moving on a path to the northeast for 85 miles.

Quick Stats

Number of tornadoes: 19
Number of significant (F2+) tornadoes: 13
States impacted: Tx., Ar., La., Ms., In., Oh., SC, NC
Tornadoes with 50+ mile paths: 4
Deadly tornadoes: 5
Fatalities: 123 (121 in La. and Ms.)
Injuries: 1,592

Sources

Tornado History Project. http://www.tornadohistoryproject.com
Thomas P. Grazulis, Significant Tornadoes 1680-1991 (Environmental Films, 1993).
NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Daily Mean Composites. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/composites/day
NOAA Central Library, U.S. Daily Weather Maps Project. http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/dwm/data_rescue_daily_weather_maps.html

Significant and intense February tornadoes by state

The graphs above and below examine only those tornadoes either "significant" (F2/EF-2+) or "intense" (F3/E-F3+). All significant tornadoes made up 29.2 percent of the total number of tornadoes in February from 1950-2010.

Significant tornadoes accounted for 97 percent of all February tornado deaths, while intense tornadoes accounted for 87 percent. There were 421 significant tornadoes or 113 intense tornadoes during the period.

Notably, Mississippi leads the pack in F2/EF-2+ and F3/EF-3+ February tornadoes and is tied with Tennessee in the F4/EF-4 category. Florida, while ranked highest for overall February tornadoes ranks 5th on the lesser categories and has seen no F4/EF-4+ in the month. 

Note: If adding up numbers on the graphical representation, you will end up with more tornadoes than there have been because the red zones are tornadoes which crossed a state line after striking another state first. 

All images can be viewed larger by selecting. Data obtained through Tornado History Project. Follow us on Twitter.

U.S. Tornadoes: The month of February by the numbers

February is not a typical tornado month, but it has featured plenty of tornadoes. Patrick Marsh has an excellent overview replete with maps that's certainly worth looking over. Rather than reproduce his fine work, some additional stats and graphs follow (now including 2010 which has been verified since the posting linked above).

Total tornadoes: 1,441

Long-term average (1950-2010): 23.6
30-year average (1981-2010): 27.5
10-year average (2001-2010): 31.7
Monthly high: 147 (2008)
Monthly low: 1 (2010)
Total fatalities: 435
Total injuries: 5,913

As expected (and seen below), F3+ tornadoes produce a majority of deaths. The only F5 recorded in February was not the cause of the most deaths of any tornado in February, but rather it came in second. The deadliest February tornado was an F4 which killed 58 on the same day, the 21st in 1971.

All images can be viewed larger by selecting. Data obtained through Tornado History Project. Follow us on Twitter.

Valentine's Day Tornadoes since 1950

There have been 38 tornadoes in the United States on Valentine's Day (February 14) since modern records began in 1950.

11 states have seen tornadoes on Valentine's Day: Mississippi (9), Arkansas (5), Idaho (5), Georgia (3), Oklahoma (3), Texas (3), California (2), Louisiana (2), Missouri (2), North Carolina (2) and South Carolina (2).

Eight of these tornadoes have been significant (F2 or higher), with one F3 during 1956 in Arkansas. This F3 also produced the longest track length of any Valentine's Day tornado at 33 miles.

The last time the U.S. experienced a tornado on Valentine's Day was 2000, when 11 of them impacted Idaho and the Southeast U.S. 

Image and data collected at Tornado History Project. Follow us on Twitter.

Just getting started...

You know, I'm not quite sure what this will be yet. The idea just came to me. Follow on Twitter!

Brief intro: I'm a forecaster and writer for a top U.S. media organization. I've chased, but I'm not sure I'd call myself a chaser. Standing under a supercell in the High Plains is one of my favorite places to be.  I like tornadoes and research. My dream is to retire to either a.) a huge ranch anywhere from the panhandle of Texas to western Nebraska, or b.) somewhere near Denver -- mountains and storms all within reach.